Dollar Tree stock | Expectations for 2026, valuation & analysis

Dollar Tree

NasdaqGS:DLTR

$ 105,99

$-0,65 (-0,61%)

105,99 $

$-0,65 (-0,61%)

End-of-day quote: 03/26/2026

Dollar Tree Stock Value

The current analyst rating for NasdaqGS:DLTR is Hold.

Hold

Dollar Tree Company Info

EPS Growth 5Y

0,35%

Market Cap

$20,91 B

Long-Term Debt

$2,43 B

Short Interest

4,09%

Quarterly earnings

06/04/2026 (E)

Dividend

$0,00

Dividend Yield

0,00%

Founded

1986

Industry

Consumer Discretionary

Country

United States

ISIN Number

US2567461080

Website

http://www.dollartree.com

Analyst Price Target
The Analyst Price Target shows the analysts’ low, high, and average target at a glance.

$126,00

18.88%

Last Update: 03/27/2026

Analysts: 23

Highest Price Target $165,00

Average Price Target $126,00

Lowest Price Target $80,00

In the last five quarters, Dollar Tree’s Price Target has risen from $60,26 to $85,73 - a 42,27% increase. Twenty Five analysts predict that Dollar Tree’s share price will increase in the coming year, reaching $126,00. This would represent an increase of 18,88%.

Top growth stocks in the consumer discretionary sector (5Y.)

What does Dollar Tree do?

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates as a leading operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. The company operates various stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia, and operates various stores across five Canadian provinces. The company is committed to growing its business through new store openings, expanded geographies, improved product offerings, store renovations and remodeling, investments in the company’s workforce, and other...

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates as a leading operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada.

The company operates various stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia, and operates various stores across five Canadian provinces. The company is committed to growing its business through new store openings, expanded geographies, improved product offerings, store renovations and remodeling, investments in the company’s workforce, and other initiatives to modernize and optimize its stores, its supply chain and distribution network, and its technology.

The Family Dollar business includes the operations of various general merchandise retail discount stores and ten distribution centers. As previously reported, in fiscal 2024, the company initiated a formal review of strategic alternatives for the Family Dollar business. This strategic alternatives review concluded in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, resulting in the decision to sell the Family Dollar business. Accordingly, the Family Dollar business met the held for sale and discontinued operations accounting criteria.

Stores

The company’s stores serve customers with a broad range of income levels, principally in suburban locations, striving continuously to ‘Wow’ the customer with a compelling, fun, and fresh merchandise assortment, consisting of a variety of things the customer wants and needs, all at incredible values in bright, clean, and friendly stores.

In the company’s Dollar Tree stores, it continues to expand its brand assortment at the $1.25 price point to provide greater value to its customers and increase customer traffic and store productivity. The company is continuing to expand its multi-price product assortment, which began with the introduction of $3 and $5 products in select discretionary categories, expanded into $3, $4, and $5 frozen and refrigerated products, and now comprises a wide assortment of other consumable and discretionary products at varying price points. Through a partnership with Instacart, the company’s customers can shop online and receive same-day delivery from more than 7,400 Dollar Tree stores, as of February 1, 2025, without having to visit a store.

In the company’s Dollar Tree Canada stores, it generally sells items for $1.75 (CAD) or less.

In addition, direct relationships with manufacturers permit the company to select from a broad range of products and customize packaging, product sizes, and package quantities that best meet its customers’ needs. Merchandise imported directly typically accounts for approximately 40% of the company’s total retail value purchases, with the remaining merchandise purchased domestically. Among the company’s foreign suppliers, China is the source of a vast majority of its direct imports, and a significant portion of its goods purchased from domestic vendors is imported. The company’s domestic purchases include basic, home, closeouts, and promotional merchandise.

The company’s stores predominantly range from 8,000 to 10,000 selling square feet. It carries approximately 8,600 items in its stores, and as of the end of fiscal 2024, approximately 33% of its items were automatically replenished. The remaining items are either allocated to the stores or managed by direct store delivery (‘DSD’) vendors. Through automatic replenishment, store-specific allocations, and DSD vendors, each store is able to satisfy the demands of its particular customer base.

The company maintains a balanced selection of products within traditional variety store categories. It offers a wide selection of everyday basic products and supplements these with seasonal, closeout, and promotional merchandise. The company attempts to keep certain basic consumable merchandise in its stores continuously to establish its stores as a destination and increase traffic in its stores. Closeout and promotional merchandise is purchased opportunistically and represents less than 10% of its purchases.

The merchandise mix in the company’s stores consists of:

Consumable merchandise, which includes everyday consumables such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and, in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food;

Discretionary merchandise includes the following: Variety merchandise, which includes toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and Seasonal goods, which include, among others, Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine’s Day merchandise.

Marketing & Retail Media

The company’s marketing mission is to surprise and delight its customers with great value, assortment, and treasure hunt excitement. The company’s marketing efforts are primarily focused on driving store traffic by providing value to its customers through its new advanced digital targeting capabilities, genuine and authentic brand building via social influencers and posts, showcasing amazing assortments in the company’s digital ads, creating a robust web and app customer experience, and utilizing in-store signage to help educate customers and drive conversion.

Distribution

The company operates 15 distribution centers in the United States. New distribution sites are strategically located to reduce the distance between the distribution centers and stores, maintain flexibility, and improve efficiency in the company’s store service areas. As part of the company’s efforts to scale its distribution network to support future store growth, it plans to convert the Odessa, Texas Family Dollar distribution center to a Dollar Tree distribution center in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The company continues to make investments in its truck fleet, transportation management systems, and a new RotaCart delivery process to streamline the truck unloading and store delivery process. A RotaCart is a wheeled container that allows quick, easy store deliveries loaded by merchandise category. The RotaCarts are nestable, allowing for easy return to the distribution centers.

The company’s stores receive approximately 90% of their inventory from its distribution centers. The remaining store inventory, primarily perishable consumable items and other vendor-maintained display items, is delivered directly to its stores from vendors or third-party distributors.

Distribution services in Canada are provided by a third party from two facilities, one in British Columbia and one in Ontario.

Intellectual Property

The company is the owner of several trademarks, including ‘Dollar Tree,’ the ‘Dollar Tree’ logo, and other names and designs of certain merchandise sold in its stores.

Seasonality

The company’s highest sales periods are during the Christmas and Easter seasons, and it generally realizes a disproportionate amount of its net sales and its operating and net income during the fourth quarter (year ended February 1, 2025). In anticipation, the company stocks extra inventory and hires many temporary employees to prepare its stores and help ship products from its distribution centers.

History

Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986. The company was incorporated in 2008.

Dollar Tree Questions and Answers

Which sectors generate sales and which are the top 3 markets?

**Revenue distribution by industry:** - Retail (Discount Stores): 100% **TOP 3 markets and their percentage shares:** - USA: approx. 95% - Canada: approx. 5% - Other markets: <1% Dollar Tree, Inc. generates the majority of its revenues in the retail sector through discount stores, with the main...

At which locations are the company’s products manufactured?

**Production Sites:** Mainly in China and other Asian countries (estimated 2023) Dollar Tree, Inc. sources a large portion of its products from China and other Asian countries. This is typical for retailers offering budget-friendly products, as production costs are lower in these regions. However,...

What strategy does Dollar Tree pursue for future growth?

**Revenue Growth:** 8.5% (2024, estimated) **Profit Growth:** 10.2% (2024, estimated) Dollar Tree, Inc. is pursuing a growth strategy focused on expanding its store network and optimizing existing locations. A key part of this strategy is the redesign and enhancement of Family Dollar stores to im...

Which raw materials are imported and from which countries?

**Main import materials:** Plastics, paper, textiles, metal goods **Main import countries:** China, Vietnam, India Dollar Tree, Inc. imports a variety of raw materials and materials necessary for the production and sale of their products. The main materials include plastics, paper, textiles, and m...

How strong is the company’s competitive advantage?

**Market share:** 8% in the discount retail sector (2024) **Gross margin:** 30.5% (2024) **Net income growth:** 10% (2024) Dollar Tree, Inc. has a significant competitive advantage in the discount retail sector, characterized by its strong market position and efficient cost structure. With a market...

What is the share of institutional investors and insider buying/selling?

**Institutional Investor Share:** approx. 95% (2025, estimated based on historical data) **Insider Buys/Sells:** No significant insider transactions in recent months (2025, estimated) The institutional investor share at Dollar Tree, Inc. is traditionally high, indicating the confidence of large in...

What percentage market share does Dollar Tree have?

**Market share of Dollar Tree, Inc.:** Estimated around 8% (2025) **Top competitors and their market shares:** 1. **Walmart Inc.:** around 25% 2. **Costco Wholesale Corporation:** around 10% 3. **Dollar General Corporation:** around 9% 4. **Target Corporation:** around 8% 5. **Aldi (USA):** around...

Is Dollar Tree stock currently a good investment?

**Revenue Growth:** 8.2% (2024) **Profit Growth:** 10.5% (2024) **Market Share in Discount Retail:** 12% (2024) Dollar Tree, Inc. recorded a revenue growth of 8.2% in 2024, attributed to successful expansion and adaptation to market trends. The company has diversified its product range and bene...

Does Dollar Tree pay a dividend – and how reliable is the payout?

**Dividend payment:** No (as of 2023) Dollar Tree, Inc. traditionally does not pay dividends to its shareholders. The company has focused in the past on reinvesting profits into the growth and expansion of its business rather than distributing dividends. This strategy allows Dollar Tree to strengt...

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Dollar Tree Stock Value

Dollar Tree Company Info

Analyst Price Target
The Analyst Price Target shows the analysts’ low, high, and average target at a glance.

Top growth stocks in the consumer discretionary sector (5Y.)

What does Dollar Tree do?

Dollar Tree Questions and Answers

Offer & Services

Service & Collaboration

Company & Legal

New support ticket

Explore

Dollar Tree Stock Value

Dollar Tree Company Info

Analyst Price Target The Analyst Price Target shows the analysts’ low, high, and average target at a glance.

Top growth stocks in the consumer discretionary sector (5Y.)

What does Dollar Tree do?

Dollar Tree Questions and Answers

Offer & Services

Service & Collaboration

Company & Legal

Analyst Price Target
The Analyst Price Target shows the analysts’ low, high, and average target at a glance.